Scout.com > Washington

Washington vs California By-the-Numbers
Story URL: http://washington.scout.com/2/67634.html

PATRICK THRAPP
Columnist Dawgman.com
Dawgman.com

Oct 3, 2002

Well, with the non-conference schedule behind them, the Washington Huskies open up league play this weekend as they host the Golden Bears of Cal. How does Dr. Thrapp and his number-crunching machine predict the outcome of Saturday's supposed slobberknocker? Well, they aren't as confident as last week, that's for sure.

California at Washington
Saturday, October 5, 2002, 12:30PM PDT

FieldTurf

No TV

Probability(1):

75%

California

Washington

Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
Collegio Rating**

8-year record
as Favorite

and Underdog
at location

vs. same-field
opponents (4)

ARIZONA
at Arizona St.
at USC
UCLA

3 - 2 (.600)
1 - 0 (1.000) on the road

41.8 (7) 25.6 (60)

389.6 (52) 395.8 (87)
116.0 (90) 146.8 (58)
273.6 (22) 249.0 (97)*

+2.20 (5)

Not Rated
Not Rated

47
41

6-29-0 (.171)
as ROAD Underdog

4-3-0 (.571)
as ROAD Favorite

0 - 0 (.000)

TBD [Nov 16]
TBD [Nov 10]
TBD [Oct 13]
TBD [Oct 19]

3 - 1 (.750)
3 - 0 (1.000) at home

35.5 (29) 18.8 (29)

503.5 (3) 337.0 (45)
118.8 (88) 91.5 (12)
384.8 (2) 245.5 (49)*

-0.5 (77)

12 (13)
12 (13)

36
49

34-7-0 (.829)
as HOME Favorite

3-2-1 (.583)
as HOME Underdog

0 - 0 (.000)

TBD [Oct 12]
TBD [Oct 27]
TBD [Oct 19]
TBD [Nov 2]

Last meeting (2001)	Washington	31
	California	28

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

Even More Numbers

Statistics

California

Washington

Differentials
+favors Cal
-favors UW

Statistic

CAL

OPP

DIFF

WASH

OPP

DIFF

CAL - WASH

OPP DIFF

DIFF DIFF

Pts / G

41.8

25.6

16.2

35.5

18.8

16.7

6.3

-6.8

-0.5

Yds / G

389.6

395.8

-6.2

503.5

337.0

166.5

-113.9

-58.8

-172.7

Rushing Yds / G

116.0

146.8

-30.8

118.8

91.5

27.3

-2.8

-55.3

-58.1

Passing Yds / G

273.6

146.8

24.6

384.8

245.5

139.3

-111.2

-3.5

-114.7

Yds / Play

5.8

5.5

0.3

6.2

5.0

1.2

-0.4

-0.5

-0.9

Rushing Yds / Car

3.7

3.6

0.1

3.1

2.9

0.2

0.6

-0.7

-0.1

Passing Yds / Att

7.5

8.0

-0.5

8.9

6.7

2.2

-1.4

-1.3

-2.7

Passing Yds / Cmp

13.3

13.7

-0.4

12.9

11.6

1.4

0.4

-2.1

-1.8

Passing Cmp %

56.6

58.3

-1.7

68.8

58.2

10.6

-12.2

-0.1

-12.3

Punt Return Avg

15.3

10.6

4.6

3.7

12.0

-8.3

11.6

1.4

12.9

Yds / 7 Pts

65.2

108.2

43.0

99.3

125.8

26.5

34.1

-17.6

16.5

Plays / 7 Pts

11.3

19.7

8.4

16.1

25.3

9.2

4.8

-5.6

-0.8

Rushing Play %

46.2

56.7

-10.5

46.9

46.1

0.8

-0.7

-10.6

-11.3

Passing Play %

53.8

43.3

10.5

53.1

53.9

-0.8

0.7

10.6

11.3

Turnovers / G

1.0

3.2

2.2

2.5

2.0

-0.5

1.5

1.2

2.7

Fumbles / G

0.2

2.0

1.8

2.0

0.7

-1.2

1.8

1.3

3.0

Intercept / G

0.8

1.2

0.4

0.5

1.2

0.7

-0.3

0.0

-0.3

Turnover %

1.5

4.4

3.0

3.1

3.0

-0.1

1.6

1.4

3.1

Fumble %

0.6

4.9

4.3

5.2

2.4

-2.8

4.6

2.5

7.1

Intercept %

2.2

3.8

1.6

1.2

3.4

2.3

-1.0

0.4

-0.7

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
2	Total Offense	Cody Pickett	368.0	yrds/g
5	Passing Efficiency	Cody Pickett	160.7	rtg pts
20	Field Goals	John Anderson	1.5	fg/g
33	All-Purpose Running	Rich Alexis	140.5	yds/g
36	Rushing	Rich Alexis	95.25	yds/g
38	Scoring	John Anderson	8.5	pts/g

California

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
10	Kickoff Returns	LaShaun Ward	29.08	yds @
10	Scoring	Mark-Christian Jensen	11.4	pts/g
18	Interceptions	James Bethea	0.6	int/g
22	Receptions	Geoff McArthur	6	rec/g
23	Punt Returns	Jemeel Powell	4.55	yds @
29	Total Offense	Kyle Boller	242.2	yds/g
44	Rushing	Joe Igber	89	ds/g
50	Passing Efficiency	Kyle Boller	130.3	rtg pts

Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>	California	Washington
Average Height	6' 1"	6' 2"
Average Weight	232 lbs	234 lbs
% Seniors	20%	14%
Average Experience	2.10 yrs	1.63 yrs
% In State	87%	50%
Top States	CA-92	WA-54
	AZ-3	CA-28
	UT-2	HI-5
Total Players	106	107

Data current as of September 30, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to pthrapp@dawgman.com