Washington vs Arizona By-the-Numbers

Well, Husky fans now know why the computer was hedging its bet just a little bit this weekend. So does it come as a surprise that Professor Thrapp has tweaked the system just a little bit more for this Saturday's Arizona-Washington matchup?

Arizona at Washington Saturday, October 12, 2002

FieldTurf

No TV

Probability(1): 64%	Arizona	Washington
Overall record Location record Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank) Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank) Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank) Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank) Turnover margin/G AP Poll Coaches Poll Sagarin's Rating(Team) Collegio Rating** 7-year record as Favorite and Underdog at location vs. same-field opponents (1) UCLA	3 - 2 (.600) 0 - 1 (.000) on the road 19.6 (102) 18.2 (23) 380.6 (59) 338.8 (41) 90.2 (109) 175.4 (89) 290.4 (14) 290.4 (61)* +0.20 (52) NA NA 56 34 9-15-0 (.375) as ROAD Underdog 13-5-0 (.722) as ROAD Favorite 0 - 0 (.000) TBD [Nov 10]	3 - 2 (.600) 3 - 1 (.750) at home 33.8 (29) 21.8 (40) 491.0 (3) 347.8 (46) 103.4 (102) 98.2 (15) 387.6 (2) 249.6 (77)* -0.80 (85) 22 (12) 18 (12) 47 42 34-7-0 (.829) as HOME Favorite 3-2-1 (.583) as HOME Underdog 0 - 0 (.000) TBD [Nov 2]

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Last meeting (2001)	Arizona	28
	Washington	31

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* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

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Even More Numbers

Statistics	Arizona			Washington			Differentials +favors AZ -favors UW
Statistic	AZ	OPP	DIFF	UW	OPP	DIFF	AZ - UW	OPP DIFF	DIFF DIFF
Pts / G	19.6	18.2	1.4	33.8	21.8	12.0	-14.2	3.6	-10.6
Yds / G	380.6	338.8	41.8	491.0	347.8	143.2	-110.4	9.0	-101.4
Rushing Yds / G	90.2	175.4	-85.2	103.4	98.2	5.2	-13.2	-77.2	-90.4
Passing Yds / G	290.4	175.4	127.0	387.6	249.6	138.0	-97.2	86.2	-11.0
Yds / Play	5.4	5.1	0.3	5.9	5.2	0.8	-0.5	0.1	-0.5
Rushing Yds / Car	2.5	4.4	-1.8	2.9	2.9	-0.1	-0.4	-1.5	-1.7
Passing Yds / Att	8.2	6.3	2.0	8.4	7.3	1.0	-0.2	1.0	1.0
Passing Yds / Cmp	14.5	11.0	3.5	12.6	12.7	-0.2	1.9	1.7	3.7
Passing Cmp %	56.8	56.9	-0.1	66.4	57.6	8.7	-9.6	0.7	-8.8
Punt Return Avg	13.1	10.5	2.5	6.6	7.0	-0.4	6.5	-3.5	2.9
Yds / 7 Pts	135.9	130.3	-5.6	101.7	111.7	10.0	-34.2	18.6	-15.6
Plays / 7 Pts	25.2	25.4	0.2	17.1	21.6	4.5	-8.1	3.8	-4.3
Rushing Play %	50.1	60.6	-10.5	43.8	49.6	-5.7	6.3	-11.0	-4.8
Passing Play %	49.9	39.4	10.5	56.2	50.4	5.7	-6.3	11.0	4.8
Turnovers / G	1.2	1.4	0.2	2.6	1.8	-0.8	1.4	-0.4	1.0
Fumbles / G	0.4	1.0	0.6	1.8	0.8	-1.0	1.4	0.2	1.6
Intercept / G	0.8	0.4	-0.4	0.8	1.0	0.2	0.0	-0.6	-0.6
Turnover %	1.7	2.1	0.4	3.1	2.7	-0.5	1.4	-0.6	0.9
Fumble %	1.1	2.5	1.4	5.0	2.4	-2.6	3.9	0.1	4.0
Intercept %	2.3	1.5	-0.7	1.7	2.9	1.2	-0.6	-1.4	-1.9

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
2	Total Offense	Cody Pickett	373.6	yds/g
3	Field Goals	John Anderson	2	fg/g
22	Passing Efficiency	Cody Pickett	147.4	rtg pts
29	Scoring	John Anderson	9.4	pts/g
44	Receptions	Patrick Reddick	5	rec/g

Arizona

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
5	Receptions	Bobby Wade	8	rec/g
8	Receiving Yards	Bobby Wade	116.2	yds/g
16	All-Purpose Running	Bobby Wade	155.6	yds/g
18	Field Goals	Sean Keel	1.5	fg/g
19	Total Offense	Jason Johnson	269.8	yds/g
36	Passing Efficiency	Jason Johnson	139.8	rtg pts

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Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>	Arizona	Washington
Average Height	6'1"	6'2"
Average Weight	225 lbs	234 lbs
% Seniors	17%	14%
Average Experience	1.90 yrs	1.63 yrs
% In State	26%	50%
Top States	CA-35	WA-54
	AZ-27	CA-28
	TX-20	HI-5
Total Players	103	107

Data current as of October 7, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to