Washington vs California By-the-Numbers

Well, with the non-conference schedule behind them, the Washington Huskies open up league play this weekend as they host the Golden Bears of Cal. How does Dr. Thrapp and his number-crunching machine predict the outcome of Saturday's supposed slobberknocker? Well, they aren't as confident as last week, that's for sure.

California at Washington Saturday, October 5, 2002, 12:30PM PDT

FieldTurf

No TV

Probability(1): 75%	California	Washington
Overall record Location record Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank) Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank) Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank) Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank) Turnover margin/G AP Poll Coaches Poll Sagarin's Rating(Team) Collegio Rating** 8-year record as Favorite and Underdog at location vs. same-field opponents (4) ARIZONA at Arizona St. at USC UCLA	3 - 2 (.600) 1 - 0 (1.000) on the road 41.8 (7) 25.6 (60) 389.6 (52) 395.8 (87) 116.0 (90) 146.8 (58) 273.6 (22) 249.0 (97)* +2.20 (5) Not Rated Not Rated 47 41 6-29-0 (.171) as ROAD Underdog 4-3-0 (.571) as ROAD Favorite 0 - 0 (.000) TBD [Nov 16] TBD [Nov 10] TBD [Oct 13] TBD [Oct 19]	3 - 1 (.750) 3 - 0 (1.000) at home 35.5 (29) 18.8 (29) 503.5 (3) 337.0 (45) 118.8 (88) 91.5 (12) 384.8 (2) 245.5 (49)* -0.5 (77) 12 (13) 12 (13) 36 49 34-7-0 (.829) as HOME Favorite 3-2-1 (.583) as HOME Underdog 0 - 0 (.000) TBD [Oct 12] TBD [Oct 27] TBD [Oct 19] TBD [Nov 2]

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Last meeting (2001)	Washington	31
	California	28

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* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

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Even More Numbers

Statistics	California			Washington			Differentials +favors Cal -favors UW
Statistic	CAL	OPP	DIFF	WASH	OPP	DIFF	CAL - WASH	OPP DIFF	DIFF DIFF
Pts / G	41.8	25.6	16.2	35.5	18.8	16.7	6.3	-6.8	-0.5
Yds / G	389.6	395.8	-6.2	503.5	337.0	166.5	-113.9	-58.8	-172.7
Rushing Yds / G	116.0	146.8	-30.8	118.8	91.5	27.3	-2.8	-55.3	-58.1
Passing Yds / G	273.6	146.8	24.6	384.8	245.5	139.3	-111.2	-3.5	-114.7
Yds / Play	5.8	5.5	0.3	6.2	5.0	1.2	-0.4	-0.5	-0.9
Rushing Yds / Car	3.7	3.6	0.1	3.1	2.9	0.2	0.6	-0.7	-0.1
Passing Yds / Att	7.5	8.0	-0.5	8.9	6.7	2.2	-1.4	-1.3	-2.7
Passing Yds / Cmp	13.3	13.7	-0.4	12.9	11.6	1.4	0.4	-2.1	-1.8
Passing Cmp %	56.6	58.3	-1.7	68.8	58.2	10.6	-12.2	-0.1	-12.3
Punt Return Avg	15.3	10.6	4.6	3.7	12.0	-8.3	11.6	1.4	12.9
Yds / 7 Pts	65.2	108.2	43.0	99.3	125.8	26.5	34.1	-17.6	16.5
Plays / 7 Pts	11.3	19.7	8.4	16.1	25.3	9.2	4.8	-5.6	-0.8
Rushing Play %	46.2	56.7	-10.5	46.9	46.1	0.8	-0.7	-10.6	-11.3
Passing Play %	53.8	43.3	10.5	53.1	53.9	-0.8	0.7	10.6	11.3
Turnovers / G	1.0	3.2	2.2	2.5	2.0	-0.5	1.5	1.2	2.7
Fumbles / G	0.2	2.0	1.8	2.0	0.7	-1.2	1.8	1.3	3.0
Intercept / G	0.8	1.2	0.4	0.5	1.2	0.7	-0.3	0.0	-0.3
Turnover %	1.5	4.4	3.0	3.1	3.0	-0.1	1.6	1.4	3.1
Fumble %	0.6	4.9	4.3	5.2	2.4	-2.8	4.6	2.5	7.1
Intercept %	2.2	3.8	1.6	1.2	3.4	2.3	-1.0	0.4	-0.7

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
2	Total Offense	Cody Pickett	368.0	yrds/g
5	Passing Efficiency	Cody Pickett	160.7	rtg pts
20	Field Goals	John Anderson	1.5	fg/g
33	All-Purpose Running	Rich Alexis	140.5	yds/g
36	Rushing	Rich Alexis	95.25	yds/g
38	Scoring	John Anderson	8.5	pts/g

California

Rank	Category	Player	Value	Units
10	Kickoff Returns	LaShaun Ward	29.08	yds @
10	Scoring	Mark-Christian Jensen	11.4	pts/g
18	Interceptions	James Bethea	0.6	int/g
22	Receptions	Geoff McArthur	6	rec/g
23	Punt Returns	Jemeel Powell	4.55	yds @
29	Total Offense	Kyle Boller	242.2	yds/g
44	Rushing	Joe Igber	89	ds/g
50	Passing Efficiency	Kyle Boller	130.3	rtg pts

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Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>	California	Washington
Average Height	6' 1"	6' 2"
Average Weight	232 lbs	234 lbs
% Seniors	20%	14%
Average Experience	2.10 yrs	1.63 yrs
% In State	87%	50%
Top States	CA-92	WA-54
	AZ-3	CA-28
	UT-2	HI-5
Total Players	106	107

Data current as of September 30, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to