Crunching the Numbers: 5/31/2013

Jamaal Jones (Kim Grinolds/Dawgman.com)

With James Johnson's retirement and four transfer requests granted to Jamaal Jones, Darien Washington, Erich Wilson and Evan Zeger, UW's total number of 85 scholarships is looking a lot more comfortable now than it did a month ago. Given 100 percent enrollment from the 2013 class, how close is UW to matching that all-important 85 number when the newest class enrolls in the beginning of July?

Scholarship Breakdown - Offense:
QB - 5
RB - 7
FB - 2
TE - 5
WR - 9
OL - 16
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Total - 44

Quarterback (5):
17 Keith Price - Sr.
6 Derrick Brown - So.
10 Cyler Miles - RFr.
5 Jeff Lindquist - RFr.
13 Troy Williams - Fr.


Departing Players: 0

Expected Number (Currently Enrolled): 1 (Troy Williams)
Running Back (7):
25 Bishop Sankey - Jr.
24 Jesse Callier - Jr.
32 Deontae Cooper - Jr.
23 Kendyl Taylor - So.
12 Dwayne Washington - RFr.
31 Ryan McDaniel - RFr.
38 Dominic Boddie - RFr. walk-on


Departing Players: 1 (Dezden Petty, Erich Wilson)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 1 (Lavon Coleman)
Fullback (2):
28 Psalm Wooching - RFr.
43 Cooper Pelluer - Jr.


Departing Players: 2 (Jonathan Amosa, Cole Sager)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 0
Tight End (5):
88 Austin Seferian-Jenkins - Jr.
84 Michael Hartvigson - Jr.
80 Evan Hudson - Jr.
82 Joshua Perkins - So.


Departing Players: 0

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 1 (David Ajamu)
Receiver (9):
8 Kevin Smith - Sr.
15 Antavius Sims - Sr.
2 Kasen Williams - Jr.
19 DiAndre Campbell - Jr.
4 Jaydon Mickens - So.
16 Marvin Hall - So.


Departing Players: 3 (Cody Bruns, James Johnson, Jamaal Jones)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 3 (Demore'ea Stringfellow, Darrell Daniels, John Ross)
Offensive Line (16):
64 Colin Tanigawa - Jr.
72 Micah Hatchie - Jr.
78 Michael Criste - Jr.
75 Erik Kohler - Jr.
59 Ben Riva - Jr.
70 James Atoe - Jr.
76 Dexter Charles - So.
60 Shane Brostek - So.
65 Siosifa Tufunga - So.
62 Ross Dolbec - So. walk-on
61 Ben Teichman - So. walk-on
74 Nathan Dean - RFr.
52 Jake Eldrenkamp - RFr.
69 Cory Fuavai - RFr.
63 Taylor Hindy - RFr.
67 Michael Kneip - RFr. walk-on


Departing Players: 1 (Drew Schaefer)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 3 (Andrew Kirkland, Dane Crane, Coleman Shelton)
Scholarship Breakdown - Defense/Specialists:
DL - 18
LB - 11
CB - 8
Safety - 5
P/K - 3
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Total - 45

Defensive Line (18):
55 Sione Potoae - Sr.
99 Josh Banks - Sr.
71 Danny Shelton - Jr.
93 Andrew Hudson - Jr.
22 Josh Shirley - Jr.
52 Hauoli Jamora - Jr.
97 Lawrence Lagafuaina - Jr.
57 Drew Schultz - Jr. walk-on
44 Pio Vatuvei - So.
42 Cory Littleton - So.
91 Connor Cree - So.
95 Jarett Finau - So.
90 Taniela Tupou - So.
66 Damion Turpin - RFr.


Departing Players: 3 (Semisi Tokolahi, Talia Crichton, Corey Waller)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 5 (Jaimie Bryant, Andrew Basham, Marcus Farria, Elijah Qualls, Joe Mathis)
Linebacker (11):
50 Thomas Tutogi - Sr.
37 Princeton Fuimaono - Sr.
10 John Timu - Jr.
58 Jamaal Kearse - Jr.
41 Travis Feeney - So.
7 Shaq Thompson - So.
47 Scott Lawyer - So.


Departing Players: 3 (Nate Fellner, Blake Rodgers, Evan Zeger)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 4 (Sean Constantine, Connor O'Brien, Azeem Victor, Keishawn Bierria)
Cornerback (7):
18 Greg Ducre - Sr.
12 Travell Dixon - Jr.
21 Marcus Peters - So.
3 Cleveland Wallace - RFr.


Departing Players: 3 (Desmond Trufant, Adam Long, Darien Washington)

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 3 (Jermaine Kelly, Kevin King, Patrick Enewally)
Safety (6):
1 Sean Parker - Sr.
13 Will Shamburger - Sr.
14 Taz Stevenson - Sr.
32 Tre Watson - Sr.
39 Thomas Vincent - So. walk-on
9 Brandon Beaver - RFr.
27 Trevor Walker - Fr.


Departing Players: 3 (Justin Glenn, Anthony Gobern, James Sample)

Expected Number (Currently Enrolled): 1 (Trevor Walker)
Punter (2):
46 Travis Coons - Sr.
46 Korey Durkee - So.


Departing Players: 0

Expected Number (Currently Signed): 0
Kicker (1):
46 Travis Coons - Sr.
48 Cameron Van Winkle - Fr.


Departing Players: 0

Expected Number (Currently Enrolled): 1 (Cameron Van Winkle)
Overall Analysis:
Getting Down to 85: With 44 scholarships on offense and 45 on defense, the program is currently at 89 scholarships if everyone enrolls for the 2013 class.

Defensive lineman Jaimie Bryant is already set on enrolling for winter quarter, so that immediately takes the number to 88.

Will Everyone For 2013 Qualify?: As of press time, we believe every 2013 signee has been accepted to the University of Washington save one - Andrew Basham.

If Basham can't square his academics by the time the season starts, the overall number drops by one to 87. We believe Basham still stands an excellent chance of being able to join Bryant as a mid-year enrollee.

Acceptance Versus Qualifying: It's important to understand the distinction between being accepted into school and being cleared by the NCAA Clearinghouse. As long as a prospect has the requisites covered to pass through a Clearinghouse review - which is comprised of making sure the correct classes were taken and passed to produce an acceptable core GPA and an acceptable standardized test score - the school has already made the determination to accept their application.

So the natural extension of this is denial of enrollment for certain signees whose Clearinghouse materials have been flagged for unusual activity. That could mean a bunch of classes retaken to help boost a core GPA; it could be a massive improvement in a standardized test score, like the SAT or ACT. Expect a handful of 2013 signees to have their transcripts and Clearinghouse files singled out for such actions, much like an IRS audit. It's not that they've necessarily done anything wrong; it's just that those in charge of finding fraudulent information are trying to make sure that everything is on the up and up - all the i's have been dotted and t's have been crossed.

Injuries Can Impact The Total Number: Johnson's announcement Thursday underscores how fragile the status can be for those players coming back from injury. One day they can be on their way back, rehabbing and feeling good about their chances for a full recovery - and the next they are retiring from the sport.

It would not be surprising to ultimately see some UW players returning from multiple knee injuries - Deontae Cooper, Hau'oli Jamora and Colin Tanigawa are three such cases - to also declare their retirement. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but one knee tear is difficult enough to recover from, let alone more than one knee tear.

There is an option to allow injured players to finish out their schooling and get their degree in exchange for relinquishing their remaining eligibility. By doing that, a program can take those players off their total number.

If, hypothetically, Cooper, Jamora and Tanigawa retired with Johnson, that would put their number at 84 - one under the limit. So there is some wiggle room.

More Attrition: Erich Wilson was a player Washington didn't expect to lose. There are others that clearly saw the writing on the wall, hence the transfer requests. And since we are dealing with young men you never know when someone is feeling homesick or there's family drama or something else that will cause a player to decide to make a change. So with all those things in mind, don't be surprised if there's additional attrition to the current roster to help trim the list to 85 or less. And for every current player that decides UW isn't the place for them anymore, that will open up a future spot for the 2014 class.

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